NAC Breda vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
59.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
VIT
0 - 3
NAC
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 2
FEY
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
AZA
1 - 2
NAC
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
NAC
3 - 1
SPA
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
ADO
1 - 1
NAC
30%
26%
44%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
AJA
2 - 2
MAR
57%
24%
19%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
AJA
3 - 0
GRA
82%
13%
6%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 1
AJA
40%
25%
36%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ADO
1 - 1
AJA
10%
18%
72%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
UTR
0 - 2
AJA
19%
21%
60%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |