NAC Breda vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
66.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1983 |
GAE
0 - 0
NAC
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1983 |
NAC
2 - 0
FOR
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1983 |
HEL
6 - 1
NAC
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1982 |
FEY
6 - 1
NAC
82%
12%
6%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1982 |
NAC
1 - 0
UTR
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1983 |
AJA
6 - 1
HFC
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1983 |
AJA
5 - 5
GRO
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1983 |
GAE
0 - 2
AJA
20%
21%
59%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1982 |
FOR
1 - 3
AJA
16%
19%
65%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1982 |
AJA
5 - 0
HEL
95%
4%
1%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |