NAC Breda U21 vs Excelsior U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
19.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
EMM
2 - 0
NAC
17%
18%
65%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
GAE
4 - 1
NAC
47%
23%
30%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 3
GRA
28%
22%
50%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
THS
4 - 1
NAC
59%
19%
22%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 4
FYN
12%
18%
70%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -2 |
Matches
Excelsior U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
EXC
3 - 3
WIL
32%
23%
45%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
EXC
1 - 4
VOL
31%
22%
48%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
VIT
2 - 1
EXC
73%
16%
12%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
EXC
1 - 2
ROD
70%
17%
13%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
DBS
5 - 2
EXC
28%
21%
51%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |