NAC vs Ostbahn XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
27.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
LAC
2 - 3
NAC
15%
21%
64%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 1
ADM
71%
17%
12%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 2
NAC
30%
23%
47%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 1
STA
67%
19%
15%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
POS
1 - 1
NAC
38%
25%
38%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ostbahn XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2012 |
OST
3 - 0
WIE
83%
12%
5%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
FAV
1 - 2
OST
30%
24%
46%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
OST
4 - 4
TEA
53%
23%
24%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
DON
0 - 2
OST
39%
24%
37%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
OST
4 - 2
GER
63%
21%
16%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |