WC Qual. Asia First Round Final
Global 0-11
Myanmar vs China analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
62.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
27%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Myanmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
CHN
7 - 0
MMR
82%
13%
5%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
MMR
1 - 0
LAO
68%
17%
15%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2007 |
MMR
1 - 0
LSO
59%
21%
20%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2007 |
MMR
0 - 0
PHL
73%
16%
11%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
MAS
0 - 0
MMR
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
CHN
7 - 0
MMR
82%
13%
5%
|
85 | 55 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2007 |
UZB
3 - 0
CHN
29%
25%
46%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2007 |
CHN
2 - 2
IRN
26%
23%
52%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2007 |
MAS
1 - 5
CHN
6%
16%
78%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
USA
4 - 1
CHN
71%
20%
10%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | -1 |