Mwadui vs Simba SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
48.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mwadui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
JKT
3 - 1
MWA
50%
27%
23%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
MBE
1 - 0
MWA
44%
28%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
MWA
0 - 0
AZA
30%
28%
42%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
MWA
0 - 1
NAM
33%
25%
42%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
IFC
3 - 2
MWA
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Simba SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
SIM
5 - 0
MTI
74%
17%
9%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
ALA
1 - 0
SIM
73%
17%
10%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
SIM
4 - 1
VCL
31%
24%
45%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
SIM
3 - 0
ALM
84%
11%
5%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
SIM
1 - 1
TAN
66%
21%
13%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |