Mwadui vs Simba SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.3%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
40.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mwadui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
MWA
1 - 1
JKT
41%
25%
34%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
MWA
1 - 1
AZA
29%
29%
42%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
SUT
1 - 0
MWA
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
KAG
2 - 1
MWA
50%
28%
22%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2018 |
NMF
0 - 2
MWA
40%
28%
32%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Simba SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
MBA
1 - 0
SIM
26%
30%
44%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
NDA
0 - 0
SIM
17%
28%
55%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
SIM
2 - 0
MBE
70%
19%
12%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +8 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
SIM
1 - 0
TAN
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
SIM
2 - 1
MTI
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |