Mwadui vs Simba SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
27.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mwadui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
MWA
2 - 1
NDA
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
SUN
0 - 2
MWA
44%
28%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
MTI
4 - 1
MWA
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
MWA
2 - 2
YOU
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2015 |
MWA
3 - 1
JKT
56%
25%
19%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Simba SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
TOT
1 - 1
SIM
34%
29%
38%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
AZA
2 - 2
SIM
52%
25%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
SIM
6 - 1
MMA
66%
21%
13%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
SIM
1 - 0
COA
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
TAN
1 - 0
SIM
33%
30%
37%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |