Mwadui vs Ndanda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
25.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mwadui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
MWA
2 - 2
JKT
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
AFR
1 - 0
MWA
36%
28%
37%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -4 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
AZA
2 - 0
MWA
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
MWA
3 - 2
MBE
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
MWA
3 - 1
RUV
56%
24%
21%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ndanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
MBE
1 - 2
NDA
46%
28%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2017 |
NDA
1 - 0
RUV
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
NDA
0 - 0
AFR
53%
26%
21%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
NDA
2 - 0
MBA
36%
27%
38%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
NDA
0 - 0
TOT
47%
27%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |