Mwadui vs Mtibwa Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
29%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mwadui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
MWA
0 - 3
SIM
42%
29%
29%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
NDA
1 - 2
MWA
44%
30%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
RUV
1 - 1
MWA
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
JKT
1 - 1
MWA
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
MWA
2 - 0
AFR
63%
22%
16%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
TOT
3 - 2
MTI
28%
29%
43%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
MTI
3 - 3
SUN
47%
28%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
AZA
1 - 1
MTI
54%
25%
22%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
MTI
0 - 0
TAN
48%
28%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
YOU
3 - 1
MTI
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |