Mwadui vs Mtibwa Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
24%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mwadui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
JKT
1 - 1
MWA
24%
28%
48%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
MWA
0 - 0
MMA
65%
21%
15%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
JKT
1 - 0
MWA
35%
26%
39%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MWA
2 - 1
COA
58%
25%
18%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
MWA
0 - 0
TAN
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
KAG
1 - 0
MTI
27%
31%
43%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
MTI
2 - 1
JKT
65%
22%
13%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
MTI
3 - 0
COA
55%
25%
19%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MMA
1 - 0
MTI
31%
27%
42%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
NDA
1 - 1
MTI
34%
30%
36%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |