Mwadui vs Kagera Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
31.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mwadui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
GFC
1 - 2
MWA
61%
23%
16%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
RUV
5 - 1
MWA
56%
25%
19%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
MWA
0 - 1
SIM
25%
26%
49%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
JKT
3 - 1
MWA
50%
27%
23%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
MBE
1 - 0
MWA
44%
28%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
BUM
2 - 1
KAG
52%
28%
20%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
KAG
0 - 2
SIM
27%
28%
46%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
MTI
1 - 1
KAG
36%
30%
34%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
MBE
0 - 0
KAG
37%
30%
33%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
DJF
0 - 0
KAG
56%
25%
20%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |