Mwadui vs Kagera Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.7%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
25.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mwadui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 2016 |
MWA
1 - 0
MBA
46%
24%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
MWA
1 - 0
TOT
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
MWA
1 - 4
AZA
37%
28%
35%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
MWA
0 - 1
MMA
58%
22%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2016 |
MWA
2 - 3
MTI
42%
29%
29%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 2016 |
SUN
0 - 1
KAG
46%
29%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
MBE
0 - 0
KAG
44%
29%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
KAG
3 - 1
RUV
46%
29%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2016 |
MBA
0 - 2
KAG
53%
25%
23%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
KAG
2 - 3
AZA
32%
30%
39%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |