MVV Maastricht vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
64.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2021 |
GAE
3 - 0
MVV
70%
20%
10%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2021 |
MVV
0 - 2
JUT
36%
25%
39%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
VOL
0 - 1
MVV
78%
15%
7%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
MVV
3 - 1
FCD
51%
23%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
EIN
4 - 0
MVV
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2021 |
EXC
1 - 0
EIN
63%
20%
17%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2021 |
NEC
3 - 2
EXC
52%
24%
25%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
EXC
0 - 3
NAC
43%
24%
33%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
EXC
0 - 1
BVO
25%
23%
53%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
EXC
2 - 0
ZWO
38%
23%
39%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +2 |