MVV Maastricht vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
55%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
GRA
1 - 0
MVV
80%
14%
6%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
MVV
2 - 1
NEC
11%
19%
70%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
BVO
2 - 0
MVV
84%
12%
5%
|
50 | 75 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
MVV
1 - 1
HEL
46%
24%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
MVV
2 - 2
EXC
17%
19%
64%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
EXC
1 - 3
RJC
62%
20%
17%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2021 |
EXC
0 - 1
VIT
21%
21%
58%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
VOL
0 - 2
EXC
52%
23%
25%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
EXC
4 - 4
BOS
74%
16%
10%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
FCO
1 - 3
EXC
25%
24%
51%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |