MVV Maastricht vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2009 |
BOS
6 - 0
MVV
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
MVV
2 - 1
FCE
62%
22%
17%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
RBC
3 - 0
MVV
31%
27%
43%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2009 |
MVV
3 - 1
BVV
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
BVO
1 - 1
MVV
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2009 |
VOL
1 - 0
EXC
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
EXC
1 - 1
GAE
48%
24%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
EIN
4 - 4
EXC
39%
25%
36%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2009 |
HEL
3 - 1
EXC
46%
26%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
EXC
2 - 0
BVV
64%
20%
16%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |