MVV Maastricht vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
41.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2006 |
MVV
3 - 4
TEL
57%
24%
20%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2006 |
GAE
1 - 1
MVV
38%
26%
36%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2006 |
AZA
4 - 0
MVV
82%
12%
6%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2006 |
BOS
3 - 1
MVV
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2006 |
MVV
2 - 0
EIN
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2006 |
VOL
0 - 0
EXC
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2006 |
EXC
4 - 1
GRA
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2006 |
EXC
1 - 2
HFC
70%
18%
12%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2006 |
ZWO
0 - 5
EXC
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Dec. 2005 |
EXC
2 - 2
FCO
72%
17%
11%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |