MVV Maastricht vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
17.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1985 |
SPA
1 - 0
MVV
77%
14%
9%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
MVV
2 - 1
UTR
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
GRO
1 - 1
MVV
76%
15%
9%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1985 |
BOS
0 - 2
MVV
61%
22%
18%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1985 |
MVV
1 - 0
FOR
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1985 |
EXC
1 - 2
TWE
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
EXC
1 - 1
GAE
57%
25%
19%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
BOS
0 - 0
EXC
59%
23%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1985 |
EXC
1 - 1
FOR
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1985 |
AZA
1 - 1
EXC
69%
20%
12%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |