MVV Maastricht vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1980 |
PSV
2 - 2
MVV
79%
15%
7%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1980 |
MVV
2 - 0
NAC
59%
23%
19%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1980 |
WAG
1 - 2
MVV
57%
24%
20%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1980 |
MVV
2 - 1
RJC
45%
27%
29%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1980 |
MVV
1 - 1
GAE
53%
24%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1980 |
EXC
2 - 4
AJA
19%
24%
58%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1980 |
NEC
1 - 1
EXC
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1980 |
EXC
3 - 3
ZWO
55%
24%
20%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1980 |
AZA
2 - 1
EXC
82%
12%
6%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1980 |
ADO
3 - 1
EXC
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |