MVV Maastricht vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
57.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
FOR
0 - 0
MVV
53%
23%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
MVV
0 - 0
SPA
30%
29%
41%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1968 |
NAC
0 - 0
MVV
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
MVV
0 - 2
GAE
24%
26%
51%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1968 |
GRO
3 - 0
MVV
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
AJA
0 - 1
FEY
64%
19%
17%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1968 |
AJA
2 - 0
FEN
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
TWE
5 - 1
AJA
30%
26%
45%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1968 |
AJA
9 - 2
TEL
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
SHS
0 - 3
AJA
23%
21%
56%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |