Pref. Valenciana Promotion Play Off Final
Global 1-0
Mutxamel vs UD Aldaia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
37.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mutxamel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
MUT
7 - 0
MON
59%
21%
20%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
BFL
0 - 5
MUT
67%
17%
16%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
MUT
3 - 0
BEN
55%
22%
23%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
VIJ
1 - 3
MUT
35%
24%
40%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
MUT
2 - 0
ATL
45%
24%
32%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
UD Aldaia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
ALD
2 - 0
VIL
87%
9%
4%
|
31 | 13 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
JUP
0 - 2
ALD
28%
22%
50%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
ALD
6 - 2
TUR
62%
20%
18%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
VAL
1 - 3
ALD
27%
23%
50%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
ALD
3 - 1
ALX
39%
24%
38%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +2 |