Muttenz vs Lerchenfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.9%
14.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muttenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
LIE
1 - 4
MUT
39%
22%
39%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
FCA
0 - 1
MUT
72%
16%
12%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
MUT
7 - 3
BUB
57%
19%
24%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
BIN
1 - 1
MUT
54%
21%
26%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
MUT
1 - 2
MOU
41%
22%
37%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Lerchenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
LER
1 - 1
FCA
15%
18%
67%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
BUB
2 - 1
LER
51%
21%
28%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
LER
0 - 2
BIN
31%
22%
47%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
MOU
2 - 2
LER
67%
18%
15%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
LER
0 - 0
FCK
28%
23%
49%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |