Muttenz vs Oerlikon / Polizei analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
11.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muttenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
BIN
1 - 0
MUT
31%
22%
47%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
LIE
5 - 1
MUT
27%
23%
50%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
MUT
4 - 3
LAU
68%
18%
15%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
KOS
2 - 0
MUT
57%
21%
22%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
MUT
2 - 6
KRU
77%
14%
9%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Oerlikon / Polizei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
FCO
2 - 2
LIE
38%
22%
40%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
LAU
3 - 1
FCO
66%
18%
17%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
FCO
4 - 6
KOS
27%
23%
50%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
KRU
3 - 1
FCO
49%
23%
28%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
FCO
0 - 3
DUL
66%
18%
16%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |