Muttenz vs Mutschellen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.3%
Win probability
3.77
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.3%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.5%
5-0
7%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.3%
7.1%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
7.1%
3.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
9º
1º
11
11º
14º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
60.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
60.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
59% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
59% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
84.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
11 | 11 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
81.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
18.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muttenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
REG
1 - 3
MUT
14%
16%
70%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MUT
2 - 1
DIE
32%
22%
47%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
PRA
1 - 1
MUT
34%
21%
46%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MUT
2 - 1
OLD
27%
20%
53%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FCU
0 - 2
MUT
36%
21%
43%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Mutschellen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MUT
5 - 2
BUB
21%
20%
59%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ZOF
4 - 1
MUT
82%
11%
6%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MUT
0 - 1
RSZ
10%
16%
74%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
REG
3 - 0
MUT
56%
20%
24%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
MUT
1 - 3
DIE
10%
14%
76%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | -1 |