Muttenz vs Bubendorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.2%
Win probability
3.41
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.9%
7.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
9º
1º
30
4º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
60.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
60.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
59% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
59% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
84.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 11 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
81.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
18.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muttenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
ZOF
3 - 0
MUT
27%
22%
52%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
MUT
0 - 0
RSZ
59%
20%
22%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
MUT
1 - 1
MUT
6%
11%
84%
|
40 | 15 | 25 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
MUT
3 - 3
REG
93%
5%
2%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
DIE
1 - 1
MUT
46%
22%
32%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Bubendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
BUB
3 - 1
ZOF
26%
21%
52%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
RSZ
1 - 1
BUB
81%
12%
7%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
BUB
3 - 1
MUT
82%
12%
7%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
REG
2 - 1
BUB
24%
20%
56%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
BUB
0 - 2
DIE
17%
18%
66%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |