Musongati vs Aigle Noir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
+69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Musongati
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
MFC
1 - 1
ATH
57%
23%
20%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
MFC
2 - 1
BUJ
57%
24%
20%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
NYA
3 - 3
MFC
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
MFC
1 - 0
RUS
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
LLF
0 - 3
MFC
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aigle Noir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
ANM
3 - 1
FLA
45%
27%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ANM
2 - 0
RUS
45%
27%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2017 |
BUJ
2 - 2
ANM
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
ANM
0 - 0
NYA
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
VIT
0 - 1
ANM
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |