Mushuc Runa vs UT Cotopaxi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 0
MUS
37%
28%
36%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
MUS
2 - 2
ESP
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
RIV
0 - 1
MUS
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 0
MUS
33%
28%
39%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
MUS
0 - 2
IMB
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
UT Cotopaxi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
UTC
2 - 0
GRE
46%
26%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
DPT
0 - 1
UTC
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
UTC
1 - 1
IMB
34%
27%
38%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
UCE
1 - 0
UTC
68%
19%
12%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
UTC
2 - 0
FER
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |