Copa Sudamericana 1/32
Global 2-2
Mushuc Runa vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
33.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
MAC
1 - 1
MUS
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
MUS
3 - 2
RIV
62%
23%
16%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
DEL
1 - 0
MUS
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 1
MUS
52%
23%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
MUS
0 - 2
IVT
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
IQU
3 - 2
UNI
31%
27%
42%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2019 |
UNI
2 - 1
CUR
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
OHI
0 - 2
UNI
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 1
MUS
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
UNI
2 - 1
HUA
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |