Mushuc Runa vs Guayaquil City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
EME
2 - 0
MUS
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
MUS
1 - 0
CUE
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
UCE
0 - 1
MUS
62%
22%
17%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
MUS
0 - 1
TEC
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
BSC
4 - 0
MUS
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2021 |
RIV
0 - 2
IVT
24%
25%
52%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
RIV
0 - 1
EME
25%
25%
50%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 1
RIV
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
RIV
4 - 2
OLM
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
LIG
3 - 1
RIV
70%
19%
12%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |