Mushuc Runa vs Guayaquil City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
30.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2016 |
EME
4 - 0
MUS
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
MUS
0 - 2
FAM
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
UCE
1 - 1
MUS
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
MUS
1 - 4
AUC
46%
26%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2016 |
MUS
1 - 3
IVT
27%
26%
48%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2016 |
RIV
0 - 1
EME
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2016 |
RIV
3 - 0
AUC
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
BSC
2 - 0
RIV
63%
22%
16%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
RIV
2 - 2
LIG
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
CUE
2 - 3
RIV
46%
28%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |