Mushuc Runa vs Gualaceo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
MAN
0 - 0
MUS
30%
27%
43%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
MUS
0 - 0
IMB
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
IMB
1 - 2
MUS
35%
29%
36%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
MUS
2 - 0
MAN
66%
21%
14%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 1
MUS
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Gualaceo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
IMB
1 - 0
GUA
33%
27%
41%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 0
COL
57%
25%
18%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
COL
1 - 0
GUA
31%
28%
41%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 1
IMB
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 1
MUS
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |