Mushuc Runa vs Gualaceo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
22.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 0
MUS
44%
27%
30%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
MUS
1 - 0
IMB
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
LIG
1 - 2
MUS
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
MUS
2 - 4
BSC
28%
28%
43%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CUE
3 - 1
MUS
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Gualaceo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
IMB
0 - 1
GUA
45%
28%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 3
COL
60%
24%
17%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
ESP
2 - 2
GUA
30%
28%
43%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
MAC
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
CLA
1 - 2
GUA
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |