Mushuc Runa vs Espoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
22.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
UTC
0 - 1
MUS
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
MUS
2 - 1
IMB
48%
27%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
RIV
4 - 0
MUS
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
MUS
1 - 0
DPT
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
IMB
1 - 2
MUS
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Espoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
ESP
1 - 2
FER
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
MUN
1 - 2
ESP
46%
26%
29%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
UTC
2 - 1
ESP
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
ESP
3 - 1
TEC
41%
26%
34%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
DPT
3 - 1
ESP
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |