Mushuc Runa vs Espoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
17.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
RIV
0 - 1
MUS
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 0
MUS
33%
28%
39%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
MUS
0 - 2
IMB
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Espoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
ESP
3 - 2
GRE
50%
24%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
IMB
1 - 0
ESP
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ESP
1 - 1
DPT
54%
23%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
BSC
1 - 0
ESP
67%
22%
11%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
ESP
2 - 3
CUE
31%
27%
43%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |