Mushuc Runa vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
39.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
MUS
4 - 2
MAN
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
IVT
2 - 0
MUS
67%
19%
14%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
OCT
1 - 2
MUS
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
MUS
1 - 3
AUC
32%
25%
43%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
MUS
2 - 0
DEL
29%
26%
44%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
MAC
2 - 2
EME
39%
26%
34%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
MAC
1 - 1
EME
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
OLM
0 - 2
MAC
28%
27%
44%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
MAC
3 - 1
IVT
32%
26%
42%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
RIV
3 - 1
MAC
36%
28%
37%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |