Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
41.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
MUS
1 - 2
OCT
55%
21%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
AUC
1 - 1
MUS
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
MUS
6 - 1
DEL
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +2 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
RIV
0 - 0
MUS
35%
26%
39%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
MUS
1 - 2
EME
31%
25%
44%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
IVT
4 - 0
MAC
55%
24%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
IVT
3 - 2
ORE
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 1
IVT
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
IVT
0 - 0
CUE
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
IVT
0 - 2
BRA
45%
26%
30%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |