Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
50.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
EME
1 - 0
MUS
64%
22%
15%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
MUS
1 - 3
UCE
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 0
MUS
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
BSC
0 - 0
MUS
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
MUS
2 - 1
CUE
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
IVT
0 - 1
UCE
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
BSC
2 - 1
IVT
36%
27%
37%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2015 |
IVT
3 - 0
QUI
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
CUE
0 - 2
IVT
25%
26%
49%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
IVT
1 - 3
LIG
56%
25%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |