Mushuc Runa vs Grecia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
16.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
DPT
1 - 2
MUS
24%
31%
45%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2013 |
MUS
1 - 0
RIV
53%
27%
21%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
IMB
2 - 1
MUS
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2013 |
MUS
1 - 0
UTC
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
ESP
1 - 0
MUS
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Grecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
AUC
4 - 0
GRE
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 0
DPT
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
RIV
0 - 0
GRE
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 0
TEC
24%
26%
50%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
IMB
3 - 0
GRE
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |