Mushuc Runa vs Grecia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
GRE
0 - 1
MUS
36%
29%
35%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
MUS
2 - 1
AUC
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
OLM
3 - 0
MUS
46%
28%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
TEC
0 - 2
MUS
62%
23%
16%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
MUS
1 - 0
FER
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Grecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
GRE
0 - 1
MUS
36%
29%
35%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
OLM
1 - 0
GRE
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
GRE
0 - 0
FER
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
MUN
1 - 2
GRE
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
GRE
0 - 0
ESP
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |