Mushuc Runa vs Grecia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
26.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
MUS
0 - 0
RIV
44%
28%
29%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
ESP
4 - 0
MUS
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
MUS
2 - 2
VAL
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
UTC
0 - 3
MUS
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
MUS
0 - 2
DEP
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Grecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
GRE
0 - 0
ESP
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
VAL
4 - 1
GRE
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 1
UTC
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
DEP
1 - 1
GRE
52%
23%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 0
FER
35%
28%
37%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |