Mushuc Runa vs Aucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
25.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
NAC
2 - 0
MUS
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
MUS
1 - 0
DEL
36%
26%
39%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
MUS
5 - 1
BSC
33%
27%
40%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
CUE
3 - 1
MUS
36%
28%
37%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
MUS
2 - 1
AME
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
AUC
0 - 0
RIV
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
AUC
4 - 2
DEL
29%
26%
45%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
UCE
1 - 1
AUC
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
AUC
0 - 0
NAC
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2019 |
EME
2 - 1
AUC
60%
24%
16%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |