Mushuc Runa vs Aucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
25.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
OLM
0 - 0
MUS
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2017 |
MUS
1 - 0
COL
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
COL
0 - 1
MUS
35%
29%
37%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
MUS
3 - 1
OLM
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
AUC
4 - 1
MUS
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
AUC
2 - 0
LDU
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
SSR
1 - 0
AUC
36%
30%
34%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
AUC
3 - 1
SSR
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
LDU
2 - 0
AUC
33%
28%
38%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
AUC
4 - 1
MUS
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |