Mushuc Runa vs Aucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
36.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 2
MUS
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
MUS
1 - 3
LIG
29%
30%
41%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
LOJ
2 - 1
MUS
44%
28%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
MUS
2 - 4
IVT
24%
26%
51%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
EME
1 - 0
MUS
64%
22%
15%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
AUC
2 - 1
UCE
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
CUE
1 - 1
AUC
38%
28%
34%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
AUC
3 - 1
BSC
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
QUI
0 - 1
AUC
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
AUC
3 - 2
LIG
41%
29%
30%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |