GCR Murteirense vs Ponterrolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
69.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GCR Murteirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
MUR
0 - 2
AMU
19%
21%
60%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MUR
2 - 0
AMU
28%
23%
49%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
VFR
2 - 0
MUR
82%
12%
6%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ponterrolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
PON
3 - 2
INO
77%
14%
9%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
FON
0 - 1
PON
19%
21%
60%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
PON
3 - 3
ALI
32%
23%
44%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |