Muro vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
48.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+111%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
MUR
2 - 3
RAY
48%
25%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 0
MUR
71%
19%
10%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 0
ORI
44%
26%
30%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 2
ALC
13%
23%
64%
|
32 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
BOR
2 - 1
MUR
30%
26%
45%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
NOV
6 - 0
BUÑ
72%
19%
10%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 1
NOV
59%
23%
19%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
NOV
0 - 1
ONT
35%
27%
38%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SEG
0 - 1
NOV
16%
20%
64%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 3
ELD
18%
25%
57%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |