Muro vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+91%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
JOV
0 - 1
MUR
28%
25%
47%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
MUR
0 - 1
PAT
53%
24%
23%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 1
MUR
37%
26%
37%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
MUR
2 - 3
CUL
51%
24%
25%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
REQ
1 - 2
MUR
16%
23%
61%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
NOV
7 - 0
UTI
56%
24%
20%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
SAG
2 - 1
NOV
26%
28%
46%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
NOV
4 - 1
ALZ
36%
28%
36%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
NUC
1 - 0
NOV
34%
27%
40%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
NOV
0 - 0
CRE
68%
21%
12%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | -1 |