Muro vs Novelda CF analysis

Muro Novelda CF
39 ELO 40
5.2% Tilt 2.3%
9697º General ELO ranking 11261º
595º Country ELO ranking 1175º
ELO win probability
49%
Muro
24.3%
Draw
26.6%
Novelda CF

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
Muro
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
26.6%
Win probability
Novelda CF
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Muro
+70%
+17%
Novelda CF

ELO progression

Muro
Novelda CF
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Muro
Muro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Dec. 2013
JOV
FC Jove Español
1 - 1
Muro
MUR
38%
25%
37%
39 36 3 0
24 Nov. 2013
MUR
Muro
2 - 2
Paterna CF
PAT
77%
15%
8%
39 26 13 0
17 Nov. 2013
UTI
CD Utiel
0 - 1
Muro
MUR
28%
25%
48%
39 32 7 0
10 Nov. 2013
MUR
Muro
2 - 1
Torre Levante
TOR
72%
17%
11%
38 28 10 +1
03 Nov. 2013
NUC
CF La Nucía
1 - 0
Muro
MUR
33%
26%
41%
39 36 3 -1

Matches

Novelda CF
Novelda CF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Dec. 2013
ALM
Almería B
0 - 1
Novelda CF
NOV
65%
21%
15%
39 50 11 0
01 Dec. 2013
NOV
Novelda CF
1 - 0
CD Llosa
LLO
54%
25%
21%
39 33 6 0
28 Nov. 2013
NOV
Novelda CF
0 - 0
Almería B
ALM
22%
26%
52%
38 51 13 +1
24 Nov. 2013
CAS
CD Castellón
0 - 2
Novelda CF
NOV
52%
25%
23%
36 36 0 +2
17 Nov. 2013
NOV
Novelda CF
1 - 0
At. Saguntino
SAG
56%
24%
20%
36 30 6 0