Muro vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
26.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
JOV
1 - 1
MUR
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
MUR
2 - 2
PAT
77%
15%
8%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
UTI
0 - 1
MUR
28%
25%
48%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
MUR
2 - 1
TOR
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
NUC
1 - 0
MUR
33%
26%
41%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
ALM
0 - 1
NOV
65%
21%
15%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 0
LLO
54%
25%
21%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 0
ALM
22%
26%
52%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
CAS
0 - 2
NOV
52%
25%
23%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 0
SAG
56%
24%
20%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |