Muro vs Eldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+70%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 0
MUR
30%
24%
46%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
MUR
2 - 0
ALZ
47%
26%
26%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
YEC
3 - 0
MUR
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
MUR
0 - 4
YEC
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
MUR
2 - 1
PBO
65%
21%
14%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Eldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
ALZ
1 - 3
ELD
72%
18%
10%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
ELD
0 - 4
ELC
7%
17%
76%
|
26 | 72 | 46 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
NUC
4 - 0
ELD
66%
21%
13%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ELD
3 - 1
ALT
80%
15%
5%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ALI
0 - 4
ELD
26%
26%
48%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |