Muro vs Contestano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
19.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+197%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
BEN
1 - 1
MUR
63%
20%
17%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ENG
3 - 1
MUR
57%
20%
23%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
MUR
2 - 0
LOL
39%
25%
36%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
PEG
2 - 1
MUR
65%
20%
15%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
ALG
1 - 0
MUR
61%
20%
19%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Contestano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CTS
4 - 0
ALG
20%
21%
59%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
CTS
4 - 2
POR
56%
21%
22%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
RAF
0 - 2
CTS
83%
12%
5%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CTS
0 - 3
JAV
21%
22%
57%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
DEN
3 - 1
CTS
81%
14%
5%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | 0 |