Muro vs UD Alzira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
ACE
1 - 1
MUR
24%
24%
52%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
MUR
1 - 2
RIB
70%
18%
12%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
CUL
1 - 0
MUR
25%
22%
52%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
MUR
5 - 2
PIN
84%
12%
4%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 2
MUR
32%
23%
45%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
UD Alzira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
ALZ
1 - 1
LLO
46%
26%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
CAS
0 - 0
ALZ
52%
25%
23%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
ALZ
0 - 0
SAG
59%
23%
18%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
BOR
1 - 1
ALZ
57%
23%
20%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
ALZ
1 - 2
ELD
46%
27%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |